Jak Jones (@2.1) vs Mark Joyce (@1.72)
23-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Mark Joyce will win

Jak Jones – Mark Joyce Match Prediction | 23-09-2019 21:30

They deserved to cover the 13.5-point spread, but Oklahoma State busted a long run in the final minutes when they basically could have kneeled on it. Tulsa actually led Oklahoma State 21-20 in the second half before eventually losing 21-40 last week. It was much closer than that 19-point margin would indicate.

Finally, there is a 60% chance of rain Sunday in Kansas City with the forecast calling for scattered thunderstorms. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. UNDERS went 13-3 last week in the NFL. The UNDER is 50-23-1 in the Chiefs last 74 home games. I think all these extra holding penalties being called on the offenses has certainly favored lower scoring games and finally theres some rules that benefit the defenses.

This is a Southern Miss offense that returned 10 starters and is hitting on all cylinders. They are averaging 79 yards and 1.2 yards per play more than their opponents allow on average this season. They are scoring 33.3 points per game and averaging 453 yards per game and 7.2 yards per play.

Pronostic Jones, Jak - Joyce, Mark

The Ravens arent as good offensively as theyve shown thus far. They ran the ball 39 times and controlled time of possession to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. And I expect the Ravens to deploy a similar strategy to last years meeting. Lamar Jackson looks improved, but now he faces a different animal here in the Chiefs on the road. They have played two of the worst defenses in the NFL in the Dolphins and Cardinals.

Thats an Appalachian State team that has been one of the best Group of 5 teams in the country in recent years. Not to mention, Charlotte looks pretty good. And they went on the road and only lost 41-56 at Appalachian State as 23.5-point dogs in Week 2. They beat Gardner Webb 49-28 at home in their opener.

Id argue that Southern Miss could be the best team theyve faced yet. This is a Southern Miss team that returned 16 starters and is among the favorites to win Conference USA this season. Theyve managed to go 2-1 to start despite playing a tough schedule that has featured road games at Mississippi State and Troy. The 15-38 loss at Mississippi State was a misleading final because they were only outgained by 42 yards.

Then last week they went through the motions and beat Montana 35-3. Conversely, its a good time to sell high on Oregon. They lost to Auburn 21-27 in their opener, but came back the next week and took out their frustrations on Nevada in a 77-6 home win.

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Their win over Missouri in the opener at home was a fluke. Then last week they only beat Idaho 21-16 at home as 27.5-point favorites. Wyoming is overvalued due to being 3-0. They beat Texas State 23-14 on the road the next week, but were outgained by 151 yards in another fluky win. They were outgained by 148 yards and had over a 20-point swing in turnovers go in their favor. And weve seen how bad Texas State has been against everyone else this year.

The Aggies are 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 September games. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. Texas A&M is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after allowing less than 20 points in its previous game. The 12th man at Kyle Field has been a problem for opponents recently.

Now this is a terrible spot for Clemson. Its a ACC sandwich spot. They were sky high last week in their ACC opener at Syracuse, and now they have an ACC game at North Carolina on deck next week.