Louisiana Tech (@13.0) vs Texas (@1.03)
28-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Texas will win

Louisiana Tech – Texas Match Prediction | 28-08-2019 20:00

That ranked them 125th in college football. The Texas Longhorns pass defense also gave up a total of 3,660 yards through the air, which was 128th overall in total pass defense. Texas committed 90 penalties for 946 yards on the defensive side of the ball last season. Opposing offenses completed 300 passes on 494 attempts against the Texas defense last season, placing them 126th and 129th in Division 1. They surrendered a total of 5,513 yards on D, which was 98th in the country. They were 79th in the nation in points allowed on defense with 363. The Texas Longhorns rush defense allowed 484 attempts for 1,854 yards last year, putting them in 42nd place in D-1 against the run. The Longhorns were ranked 60th in yards per play allowed with 5.6.

Now the question is, is there any reason to believe history will repeat? That year and 2011, 2014 and 2017 were fat and sleek. And the answer is yes, yes there is. And the worst may be yet to come. As hinted above, 2018 already saw a decline from the previous season. Since 2010 there has been a clear pattern in Texas. On the other hand, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016 were lean and ugly years.

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All things considered, I would say theres a bridging of the gap between the two programs. As are running backs Jaqwis Dancy and Israel Tucker (who combined for 1,044 yards rushing and 12 touchdowns on 219 carries). There is, mind you, still a chasm in between, but it may not be, you know, 21-point wide. Texas starting QB Sam Ehlinger may be good enough to led the Longhorns to the straight-up win. And wide receiver Adrian Hardy (75 receptions for 1,145 yards and six TDs). Including cornerback Amik Robertson (four interceptions and 12 passes defended), LJarius Sneed (three picks, broke up eight passes), linebacker Collin Scott (87 tackles), and safety James Jackson (74). But, as far as covering the spread goes well, to quote Terry Bradshaw, he aint that good. Unlike Texas, La. And on offense, quarterback JMar Smith is also returning. Techs defense is returning several 2018 standouts.

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (+700 to win C-USA) best opportunity to get the committees attention comes early this season, as they are scheduled to take on the No. Will the Bulldogs pull off a shock upset? 10 Texas Longhorns (+300 to win the Big 12) in enemy territory. Or will Sam Ehlinger and the Longhorns kick off their season with a bang rather than a thud?

Louisiana Tech was 117th in the country in punt returns with 10 last season. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs tried 22 field goals last year and made 16, which was 46th in college football. They returned 26 kicks for 486 yards on special teams, which put them 95th in kick return yardage. They totaled 111 punt return yards and averaged 11 yards per return, which was 38th in D-1. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs kickers made 97% of their extra points, going 38 for 39 last season. The Bulldogs averaged 19 yards per kick return and they were 84th in the nation in all-purpose yards with 5,529. Their punters accumulated 2,688 yards on 68 punts, averaging 40 yards per punt. That ranked them 86th in the NCAA in punting average. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 68%.

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If lofty expectations of Ehlinger are true, its going to be a very long night for the Bulldogs. But enough of the Longhorns defense, the real key to success for the program lies in their own pocket. Sure, the Bulldogs offensive line isnt something to scoff at, but that doesn;t mean that the young defensive line of Texas will not be able to use their superior athleticism and speed to negate whatever they lack in experience, as they try to muscle through the Louisianas pass protection especially with the Bulldogs about to introduce two new starting tackles. In 2018, Ehlinger collected 3,296 passing yards and 25 touchdowns and also added 482 rushing yards and 16 rushing TDs. Thats junior quarterback Sam Ehlinger Jr., who is expected to take the next level and be the next flagship signal-caller of the Big 12 following the departures of Will Grier of the West Virginia Mountaineers and Kyler Murray of the Oklahoma Sooners.

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs head to Texas Memorial Stadium to play the Texas Longhorns on Saturday, August 31, 2019. The Longhorns were 6-7-1 against the spread and their over/under mark was 6-8-0. The opening line for this matchup has Texas as 18 point favorites. The Bulldogs were 7-6-0 against the spread last season and their over/under record was 4-9-0.

Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 72%. Longhorns kickers made 98% of their extra points, going 50 for 52 last year. They accumulated 183 punt return yards and averaged 12.2 yards per return, which was 28th in college football. The Texas Longhorns averaged 19 yards per kick return and they were 43rd in the country in all-purpose yards with 6,380. That placed them 93rd in Division 1 in punting average. Their punters totaled 2,554 yards on 64 punts, averaging 40 yards per punt. The Texas Longhorns attempted 25 field goals last season and made 18, which was 24th in D-1. Texas was ranked 94th in the nation in punt returns with 15 last year. They returned 22 kicks for 427 yards on special teams, ranking 107th in kick return yardage.

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However, while the Longhorn defense is talented, they still will need some time to gel together after having to almost completely re-tool their starting lineup. I think Texas wins this game, but three touchdowns is asking a lot I think. Texas will and should obviously be the favorite here as theyre the better team with Ehlinger leading the charge. Louisiana Tech has a history of hanging tough on the road, and this is a Bulldogs offense that remains mostly in tact from last season. Ill take a shot with the Bulldogs and the points in this one.

In a tight back and forth game, Louisiana Tech was able to pull away for the win late after a pair of RaShawn Langston FTs made it a two possession game for the Bulldogs with just :11 seconds left in regulation. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won their 2nd straight game and improved to 17-10 (7-7 C-USA) on the season after defeating the UTSA Roadrunners, 72-67, this past Saturday. Louisiana Tech held UTSA to just 42.0% shooting from the field and 17.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was DaQuan Bracey who had 23 points, 1 rebound, 4 assists, and a steal.

Texas defense was nowhere near as good as that of Louisiana Techs. Quandre Diggs, Cedric Reed, Mykkele Thompson, Steve Edmond, Malcom Brown and Jordan Hicks all exited stage left. Lowlights included 452.6 total yards and 219.2 rushing yards allowed per game, and 30.3 points allowed per game. By way of comparison, the 2015 Longhorns defense lost 200 combined starts. The Longhorns lost eight defensive starters who had previously combined for 233 starts and 366 games. What was left was one of the worst Texas defenses in recent memory. And it currently does not appear to be very deep either.

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They ran 438 times, averaging 3.9 yards per rush as a unit. The Bulldogs averaged 5.4 yards per play, which was 94th in the nation. They ran 914 plays last year for 4,932 yards, which ranked them 40th in Division 1 in total offense. As a team they accumulated a total of 269 1st downs last season, ranking them 67th overall as an offensive unit. The Bulldogs were penalized on offense 60 times for 586 yards last year, which had them 110th in the country in penalties. On the ground Louisiana Tech ran for 1,687 yards, which ranked 106th in college football. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs were 88th in the country in points scored with 321 last season.

The Bulldogs received a Hawaii Bowl invite, where they took down the host Hawaii Warriors by a final score of 31-14. Defensively, the Bulldogs said goodbye to Jaylon Ferguson who finished as the NCAAs all-time sack leader. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come into the 2018 season looking to build on a solid 2018 campaign that saw the Bulldogs finish with an 8-5 overall record, including 5-3 in C-USA play, finishing in a three-way tie for second in the C-USA West division. Jaquis Dancy is also back after logging 667 yards and 9 touchdowns last season while averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Willie Baker will be tasked with getting into the opposing backfield for the Bulldogs while Collin Scott returns to lead the linebacking group after logging 87 tackles, 9.5 TFL and 4 sacks last season. As a team, Louisiana Tech averaged 379.4 yards of total offense and 24.7 points per game last season. JMar Smith is back under center for the Bulldogs after throwing for 3,160 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 57.3% passing. Most of LA Techs secondary is back, including Amik Robertson who recorded 4 interceptions last season and James Jackson at safety who registered 73 tackles and 7.5 TFL last season. 10 of Louisiana Techs top 11 receivers are back including Adrian Hardy who led the Bulldogs with 75 receptions for 1,145 yards and 6 touchdowns.