Spal (@2.0) vs Lecce (@3.9)
26-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Spal will win

Spal – Lecce Match Prediction | 26-09-2019 15:00

SPAL manager Leonardo Semplici has won seven of his 10 Serie A matches against newly-promoted teams (D2, L1). Hell need to get SPAL firing against the newcomers, while this is the perfect chance for the hosts to build on their recent home victory. As a result, we think that SPAL will deliver in this encounter on Wednesday, so we are backing a home victory in this one.

They tend to disappoint on the road, with recent seasons usually sending down two of the three promoted sides. The visitors were able to shock Torino with a 2-1 win in their visit to Turin, but they returned to normal with a 4-1 thumping against Napoli at the weekend. Its set to be a tough campaign for the visitors, given the struggles which Serie Bs promoted trio have had in the top flight in recent years.

Meanwhile, SPAL have seen both teams score in six of their last seven Serie A games. They did get forward and make chances in their first two, but now they are converting. Lecce have at least stepped up their scoring return in recent games, as theyve found the back of the net in consecutive matches. Given that form, were also going for a 2-1 home victory this week.

Spal vs Lecce match odds

We think that while Spal have not been at their best so far, they are a better team than Lecce on paper. This is a great chance for the home side to pick up their second win of the season, something we are backing them to do. Our second bet on the game involves goals, we think there will be a few here so we are going over 2.5.

Andrea Petagna is the player to keep an eye for, as he scored 2 goals since the beginning of their campaign. One of their important players, a 23-year-old midfielder Mohamed Fares is still recovering from a cruciate ligament rupture, and wont be available for this match, so the manager Leonardo Semplici will have to think of an appropriate substitute for him.

Lecce isnt doing the best either, as they are currently dangerously low in the standings in 17th place. In their last 5 matches in all competitions, they scored 9 while conceding 7 goals, and thats a good sign that well see them net a goal in this match. So far they won only once this season and that 1-2 victory over Torino might be a glimmer of hope for them. Just like their opponents, they had a great preseason campaign, but as soon as they entered the top-flight, and started clashing with the Italian elite, they started to lose. They will do all they can to avoid another relegation, as they had just returned to Serie A this year.

They saw off Lazio, Roma and Juventus in a stretch here earlier this year, so at their best they should dispatch Lecce. SPAL were brilliant in the closing stages of last season, making a late rush for a top-half finish after a fine run of form. The home side are hoping to recapture that streak, especially given that theyre coming into this clash on the back of a big victory. Their last home game saw them beat Lazio 2-1, which was the kind of result which inspired them late last term.

Spal vs Lecce: tips and recommended bet

The Serbian international quickly established himself as a first-team regular and he made 24 league appearances for the Viola in the 2015/2016 Serie A campaign. After ending his loan-spell with Lecce Nenad Tomovic joined Fiorentina in 2012 in a co-ownership deal (Genoa and Fiorentina). Tomovic moved to Italy in 2009, signing a deal with Genoa, but he played no more than 14 league games for the Rossoblu.

While SPAL havent had everything their own way at home this term, they have scored twice in their last three league games at this ground. They have faced Atalanta, AC Milan and Napoli in their last four here, pushing all three. That makes us think that the hosts will produce a strong display against a Lecce side who are going to be fighting off relegation this term.